Cipher Digital stock drops 15.65% with daily RSI at an oversold 25.99

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Cipher Digital stock has a bearish daily setup, with the hourly chart confirming rather than challenging that bias. Price sits below every tracked daily exponential average and the lower Bollinger band. Oversold RSI readings complicate the picture, but they do not establish a bullish reversal.

CIFR daily chart with EMA20, EMA50 and volume
CIFR — daily chart with candlesticks, EMA20/EMA50 and volume.

Key takeaways

  • CIFR was trading at $10.965 as of 10:29 ET on Tuesday, down 15.65% from the previous close of $13.
  • Daily RSI14 is 25.99, down from 32.24 in the preceding session, placing it in oversold territory.
  • Daily MACD histogram is -0.50, down from -0.38; the MACD line at -1.22 remains below its signal at -0.72.
  • Price sits below every tracked daily EMA and the daily lower Bollinger band at $11.85.
  • Hourly RSI14 is 15.37, down from 32.47; 15-minute first support at $10.92 is the nearest reference beneath price.

CIFR opened at $11.25, traded between a low of $10.69 and a high of $11.32, and was last at $10.96, against a previous close of $13.00. It was trading at $10.965 as of 10:29 ET, down 15.65% versus the previous close, with 1,876,621 shares traded so far. The previous close was $13 on October 12, 2026. Prices and technical indicators are from Twelve Data.

Financing reports frame the session

Meanwhile, Yahoo Finance reported before Tuesday’s open that Cipher Digital planned an $850 million private offering of zero-interest convertible senior notes due in 2032. The report also described a proposed exchange of existing debt for common stock and reported a 12% share decline after the announcement. Those transactions remain proposed; the report’s percentage is separate from the latest intraday move.

Investing.com subsequently reported during Tuesday’s session that Cipher Digital stock had hit a 52-week low at $11.21. That was the outlet’s reported milestone, not the latest trading price.

Cipher Digital stock: daily weakness sets the main bias

Daily trend structure

The daily averages are bearishly stacked. Price is below the 20-session EMA at $15.18, the 50-session EMA at $16.77, and the 200-session EMA at $17.4. The 20-session average sits below the 50-session average, which is below the 200-session average. This leaves the daily trend structure unfavorable to the bullish case.

Momentum and volatility readings

Notably, daily RSI14 fell to 25.99 from 32.24 in the preceding session, placing it in oversold territory. The daily MACD line is -1.22, below its signal at -0.72. Its histogram declined to -0.50 from -0.38, leaving a negative line-to-signal gap. These readings support the bearish bias despite the oversold condition.

Price also sits below the daily lower Bollinger band at $11.85. The mid-band is $16.05 and the upper band is $20.25, placing price outside the lower boundary. Meanwhile, daily ATR14 rose to $1.3 from $1.22, indicating greater measured volatility than in the preceding session. These daily readings include the still-forming session.

Overhead pivot levels

The daily pivot levels, calculated from the previous completed daily candle, are all above price. First support (S1) is $12.76, the pivot is $13.19, and first resistance (R1) is $13.43. Their position makes them overhead reference levels rather than support beneath the current price.

Hourly confirmation and short-term timing

Similarly, the hourly averages are bearishly stacked above price. The 20-hour EMA is $13.19, the 50-hour EMA is $14.15, and the 200-hour EMA is $15.78. Hourly RSI14 fell to 15.37 from 32.47, placing it in oversold territory. The MACD histogram crossed below zero to -0.08 from 0.05; the line at -0.55 is below its signal at -0.47.

Price is below the hourly lower Bollinger band at $12.1 and below hourly first support at $12.94. The hourly pivot at $13.03 and first resistance at $13.09 are also overhead. Thus, the hourly chart confirms daily weakness; its oversold reading is a qualification, not an opposing trend signal.

For execution context, price sits above 15-minute first support at $10.92 but below the lower Bollinger band at $11.02. The 15-minute pivot is $11.07, followed by first resistance at $11.32. RSI14 stands at 17.57, in oversold territory, while the MACD line at -0.49 is below its signal at -0.26. This leaves short-term momentum bearish near the nearest support reference.

Bullish and bearish conditions

A bullish scenario requires holding 15-minute support at $10.92 and clearing $11.02, the 15-minute lower band. Clearing the 15-minute pivot at $11.07 and first resistance at $11.32 would strengthen that case. However, a broader bullish argument needs price above the daily lower band at $11.85. After that, it must clear daily S1 at $12.76 and the pivot at $13.19. The daily 20-session EMA at $15.18 remains a further trend hurdle.

Conversely, a break below 15-minute support at $10.92 would undermine that bullish scenario and put the session low at $10.69 in focus. A breach of that low would reinforce the bearish structure. No lower technical target is established here.

Overall, CIFR stands between nearby 15-minute support at $10.92 and its lower band at $11.02, well below the daily reference levels. Daily ATR14 at $1.3 underscores the volatility context. Whether oversold readings can accompany a sustained reclaim of overhead levels remains unresolved while the session is open.

FAQ

What do the daily moving averages indicate for Cipher Digital stock?

The daily EMAs are bearishly stacked, with the 20-session EMA at $15.18 below the 50-session EMA at $16.77, which is below the 200-session EMA at $17.4. CIFR is trading below all three, reflecting an unfavorable daily trend structure.

Is Cipher Digital stock oversold?

Daily RSI14 fell to 25.99 from 32.24, and hourly RSI14 fell to 15.37 from 32.47. Both readings sit in oversold territory, though oversold conditions alone do not confirm a bullish reversal.

What are the key levels to watch for CIFR?

On the 15-minute chart, first support sits at $10.92 and the lower Bollinger band at $11.02. On the daily chart, the lower Bollinger band is at $11.85, first support (S1) at $12.76, and the pivot at $13.19. All daily reference levels are above the current price.

What news framed Tuesday’s session for Cipher Digital?

Yahoo Finance reported before Tuesday’s open that Cipher Digital planned an $850 million private offering of zero-interest convertible senior notes due in 2032 and a proposed exchange of existing debt for common stock. Investing.com reported during the session that the stock hit a 52-week low at $11.21.


Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, an investment recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. The analysis provided is not indicative of future results. Investing in financial markets carries a high risk of capital loss. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any decision.

Cryptonomist and the author hold no positions in the financial instruments mentioned and receive no compensation from the companies covered.

Article produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by the editorial team.